(27/09/2020) 沙田日賽晨操精選 HK Horse Racing Tips at Sha Tin

大冷佳選

Best Extreme Outsider

第4場     燈胆精英   博你唔信

「燈胆精英」(12號馬) 今季從晨操所見，形態有所轉變，上季快跳較柔和，今季卻較為猛火，所以上次跑贏馬路程1650米也搶口並大敗，今次縮程跑1400米應是針對馬匹性能有變而步署，事實上牠以往在三班亦曾於同程跑入三甲，路程有根據。

經過連場大敗後，「燈胆精英」已減至42分，比上季贏馬還要少1分，評分已經有著數。我估計牠今場不是為求減分落五班，一來要減分根本無需用「冷殺手」波健士，二來葉楚航現時已有10多匹五班馬，在步署出擊已有煩惱，我想他也不想再多一匹五班馬吧！

「燈胆精英」近績極差，但牠其實狀態大勇，晨操最後快跳精神爽利，出腳強勁有力，波健士也拉到手震兼拜神。加上評分有利、排2檔形勢好跑及換上波健士，有條件令牠「變身」，博冷門不要怕近績差，幾十倍大冷門值得一博。

Race 4   BULB ELITE can surprise everyone by winning

BULB ELITE (No.12) has become more active in the mornings this season. That’s why he’s too keen over 1650m last time and steps back down to 1400m. He had a good record over 1400m when racing in Class 3.

He's back down to a reasonable mark now that looks competitive. V Borges on board and C H Yip have too many Class 5 horses that I believe he’s not looking for the class drop.

His recent performances are awkward, but he’s very fit actually. He’s full of energy and stretched powerfully in the gallops. Generally, we are reasonable to expect BULB ELITE to turn the tables. Don’t daunt by his recent poor performances, and this extreme outsider is worthy of including in bets.

 

 半冷佳選

Best Outsider

第5場     皆大開心   集中力提升

「皆大開心」(9號馬) 晨操快跳經常將頭擰向左邊眼望望，十分不集中，動作也因此未夠流暢。今次最後試跑有進步，終於見他不再擰頭周圍望，集中有所提升，動作也比之前順滑。

上次出賽加開縫眼罩，不知是否因此有點慢閘，加上入直路走內欄不利場地，最終追回一席第五，表現其實甚佳。今次除掉開縫眼罩應是好事，加上晨操有進步，可期望表現更進一步，排1檔如出閘順利可跟前守有利位置，由潘頓換上史卓豐，賠率應比上次好分，半冷可以一試。

Race 5   ALL JOYFUL made progress in the mornings

ALL JOYFUL (No.9) always turned his head to the left in the gallops that lacked focus and strode not smooth enough. He’s more concentrated and stretched smoother in the recent gallop that showed improvement.

He performed well last time that he’s slow to begin with the visor first time and ran in the unfavorable ground in the home straight with a close 5th. We can expect better performance as he removes the unsuitable visor and the improvement in works. He’s ideally drawn in barrier 2 and seems assured of a cozy run just behind the speed. C Schofield on board means more attractive odds. This outsider has to be a selection.

 

第8場   勝得精彩   最勇今次

「勝得精彩」(8號馬) 由上季至今都未能贏馬，表現令人大失所望。上次跑第六表現一般，今次賽前再試閘，動態特別，過終點後餘勢甚佳，表現合格。經過一課試閘再打磨，最後試跑一課明顯較之前爽勁，尤其一對前腳步幅比之前開揚，狀態是上季至今最好一次，這課快跳我看了10次以上，希望沒有看錯，今次可博牠回復水準。若今次也無上佳表現，恐怕牠淪為另一匹「當家精選」了。

Race 8   CHAMPION'S WAY returns to his best form

CHAMPION'S WAY (No.8) performed disappointingly since last season that had not notched a win. He performed pretty well in the recent trial finishing strongly after the post, and became more energetic in the last gallop. I think he has returned to his best form and definitely the horse to beat.