特醒馬經 x 自由哥 / SPARTAN's Horse Racing Tips

第 4 場      英之友    終於訓醒 「英之友」 (5 號馬 ) 上季試閘走勢奇差，快跳也不夠神氣，結果大部分表現都差劣。今季試閘表現合格，快跳的主動性比上季增強，而且感覺回復前季的贏馬氣勢。今次排 3 檔應可用最佳跑法貼欄領放，配周俊樂減 10 磅增加優勢，加上狀態回勇，可博他出賽跑回水準，有能力於今場橫掃對手。 「幸運拼圖」 (8 號馬 ) 最近幾場已有接近走勢，今次最後試跑慢跳一段，有力有氣勢而唔急，狀態是來港後最好一次，可望有更一步的表現，是「英之友」的最大對手。 「喜駿之星」 (6 號馬 ) 上場表現極度失望，但今次賽前晨操依然省鏡，狀態頗勇，或許熱身一場後可回復水準，畢竟上季跑第二的水準高，值得再比機會。   Race 4    HARD PROMISE wakes up after summer break HARD PROMISE (No.5) performed poorly in the trial, gallops, even the races last season. He’s move active and energetic in the mornings this season that he returns to his best form. C L Chau on board and draw 3 favors this front-runner that likely leads in the race with fence help and 10lbs apprentice allowance. He definitely is the horse to beat. LUCKY PUZZLE (No.8) performed nicely in the recent runs. His last gallop is eye-catching that I think he’s in the best form since raced in HK. He looks to be the main danger to HARD PROMISE. HERO STAR (No.6) performed ...

大冷佳選 Best Extreme Outsider 第 4 場       燈胆精英    博你唔信 「燈胆精英」 (12 號馬 ) 今季從晨操所見，形態有所轉變，上季快跳較柔和，今季卻較為猛火，所以上次跑贏馬路程 1650 米也搶口並大敗，今次縮程跑 1400 米應是針對馬匹性能有變而步署，事實上牠以往在三班亦曾於同程跑入三甲，路程有根據。 經過連場大敗後， 「燈胆精英」 已減至 42 分，比上季贏馬還要少 1 分，評分已經有著數。我估計牠今場不是為求減分落五班，一來要減分根本無需用「冷殺手」波健士，二來葉楚航現時已有 10 多匹五班馬，在步署出擊已有煩惱，我想他也不想再多一匹五班馬吧！ 「燈胆精英」 近績極差，但牠其實狀態大勇，晨操最後快跳精神爽利，出腳強勁有力，波健士也拉到手震兼拜神。加上評分有利、排 2 檔形勢好跑及換上波健士，有條件令牠「變身」，博冷門不要怕近績差，幾十倍大冷門值得一博。 Race 4    BULB ELITE can surprise everyone by winning BULB ELITE (No.12) has become more active in the mornings this season. That’s why he’s too keen over 1650m last time and steps back down to 1400m. He had a good record over 1400m when racing in Class 3. He's back down to a reasonable mark now that looks competitive. V Borges on board and C H Yip have too many Class 5 horses that I believe he’s not looking for the class drop. His recent performances are awkward, but he’s very fit actually. He’s full of energy and stretched ...

半冷佳選 Best Outsider 第 2 場   冰雪聰明    晨操進步大 「冰雪聰明」 (9 號馬 ) 上季試閘經常要力策才有走勢，而且快跳出腳軟弱無力，狀態明顯未到位，不過出賽已曾展現能力， 4 月尾於今次出戰的跑馬地 1200 米跑第四，只負 3 個馬位，以當時的狀態進度來說實在不差。 今季晨操有所轉變， 9 月中試閘走二疊放頭，入直路無需力策也能貫注到尾跑第三，過終點後更自動追上，走勢悅目。上星期四快跳仍有點急，田泰安收短韁繩，馬兒沿途玩脷及有點搶口。不過，前日最後試跑明顯有改善，田泰安可將韁繩放長一點，馬兒沿途走過相當流暢，沒有玩脷及搶口，勢頭強勁，與上季判若兩駒。 田泰安由暑期開始一手包辦 「冰雪聰明」 10 課快跳，相信他也認同此馬大有進步，否則不會當「親生仔」悉心照料。排 10 檔估計會如試閘般放頭跑，內側快馬始乎不多，如能順利放頭，可望有進步表現，半冷可以一博。 Race 2    ATHENA improved significantly in the mornings ATHENA (No.9) looked lackluster in the trials and gallops last season that his form is not good enough. However, he still showed some ability in the race, running a close 4th over 1200m at Happy Valley in Apr. He seems to be a different horse this season that was more concentrated and finished strongly after the post in the trial. Although he was keen in the gallop last Thursday, he looked relax and strode vigorously in the gallop this Monday that showed improvement. I think K Teetan agrees that A...

重心場次 Best Bets 第 4 場      凱倫健康    單 Q 搞掂 「健康在望」 (6 號馬 ) 上場賠率異常冷落，但表現卻非一無是處，即使在直路連番受阻也以勁勢撲上，跑第八其實表現絕不差。經過一場熱身後，今次晨操快跳活力大增，馬身亦十分強壯，狀態相當銳利， 5 歲馬看來仍有進步空間。上季在同程贏馬正是排 1 檔，有助發揮，加上轉由騎後上馬出色的賀銘年策騎，值得優先考慮。 「凱倫致寶」 (1 號馬 ) 上季一再於二班跑入三甲，今次降至三班實力有超卓感。今季轉由韋達訓練，晨操亦見有進步，快跳明顯比以往順滑，今次狀態即使未十足，也接近有九成，加上級數佔優，力足爭勝。 「嘜誰嘜誰」 (3 號馬 ) 上場輕鬆大勝 3 個馬位，當時本欄也有提供，不過今次狀態明顯不及上次，最後試跑拍挑一課，神色及活躍感比上次賽前拍跳平淡得多，加至 133 磅也有難度，成為大熱不值博。 投注策略： 「健康在望」 (6 號馬 ) 及「凱倫致寶」 (1 號馬 ) 一對馬十分突出，可博單 Q ，信狀態可博 「健康在望」 (6 號馬 ) W in   Race 4    HELENA BABY and GIFT OF LIFELINE are outstanding GIFT OF LIFELINE (No.6) lacked room in straight last time, but he performed pretty well actually. His form is rising significantly after a run that galloped strongly and looked powerful in the mornings. This 5 years old horse is still improving. Draw 1 is a plus as he won over this trip at this draw last season. A Hamelin on board also will help this late-finisher. He is my first choice. HELENA BABY (No.1)...

全日心水   Best Bet 第 2 場     9 天地人 「天地人」 上季初連勝兩場後表現走樣，不過季尾最後三場表現已明顯復甦。今季轉往當旺練馬師呂健威，晨操所見能承接上季尾復甦勢頭，昨日最後試跑雖然跳得慢，但感覺英明神武，身形健碩卻有線條，我認為是今場狀態最勇的馬匹。現時評分已回落至贏馬水位，路程、檔位及騎師亦理想，首選不作他想。 Race 2    No.9 LE TERROIR LE TERROIR ran disappointingly after collected two wins in Sep and Oct last season, but he has regained his form obviously in late last season. His form keeps improving after moved to the hot trainer K W Lui this summer. He finished strongly in the gallops and looked vigorous. I think he’s the fittest runner in this race. Shrinking handicap mark, good same distance records, ideal draw, and first-class jockey on board are also the plus. We should include him in all bets.   冷腳佳選 Long Shot 第 8 場    10 奇妙星 「奇妙星」 暑假運往從化特訓，毛色明顯比上季深潤，馬身線條也美觀了不少，整體觀感比以往結實，快跳也主動肯走，我認為狀態方面取得很大進展，牠的出賽表現絕對有幻想空間。今場對手頗強，有降班的「年年旺」及「樂滿家」，亦有進步中的「年年豐收」，幻想 「奇妙星」 贏馬可能有點離地，但期望這匹冷門殺入一席卻不為過。 Race 8    No.10 AMAZING KIWI AMAZING KIWI has worked diligently in ...

半冷佳選 Best Outsiders 第 2 場      6 明月千山 「明月千山」 上季曾在四班跑第二，後來愈跑愈沉，不過今季轉由徐雨石訓練後煥然一新，快跳精神爽利，慢跳也朝氣十足，試閘更逢馬過馬，狀態已經操起。上季曾於 1400 米跑得接近，路程應不成問題。由黎海榮策騎也跑過第二，加上在五班有班利，應是爭勝份子。 Race 2    No.6   MOON PEAKS MOON PEAKS ran poorly after collected a second in Class 4 last season. He becomes a different horse since moving to Y S Tsui stable this summer. He’s full of energy and enthusiasm in the mornings and performed nicely in the trial. A close sixth over 1400m last season means he should be effective over this trip. A good record with H W Lai on board and the shrinking handicap mark also is a positive. He should be a major contender in the race.   第 4 場    7 星河戰駒 「星河戰駒」上季 降至五班後已連番跑入前四名，本身已在勝利邊緣。近期晨操表現甚佳，上星期二朝三匹馬拍跳，騎者稍為鬆手即自動波湧上拍贏，早幾日單跳亦步伐輕快，狀態已在勇境。莫雷拉原本可策騎「生生勝勝」，最後揀騎牠應有見地，值得信賴。 Race 4    No.7   GALAXY RACER GALAXY RACER ran in first-4 on five occasions since dropping in Class 5 last season which is on the verge of notching ...

  半冷佳選 Best Outsiders 第 2 場     12 鵲橋飛渡 「鵲橋飛渡」在高伯新訓練時有點神經質，不是容易操控之馬，因此表現並不可靠， 33 次出賽只得 2 冠 1 亞。不過，牠今季轉往蘇偉賢馬房後有明顯轉變，快跳比以往淡定，試閘稍騎竟然亦肯追馬，而且身形外觀也比以往健碩，狀態已相當有水準。本身曾於三班負輕磅贏馬，現時在四班負輕磅當然有力一戰。 Race 2    12 FAITHFUL TRINITY FAITHFUL TRINITY was moody and struggled to make much impact that his performance is inconsistent (only 2 wins and 1 second in 33 starts) under R Gibson stable. However, he has improved significantly since moving to SW Y So stable. He’s strong, calm, and relaxing in the gallop and his recent trial performance was eye-catching. Obviously, his form is better than before.   The shrinking handicap mark also is a plus. He has to be considered.   第 3 場    9 無價寶 「無價寶」上季未能取勝，狀 態其實不差 ，但 總 是欠缺前季贏馬時的銳利感。今季狀態明顯回勇，快跳出腳勁力十足，感覺有回前季贏馬時的鋒芒。雖然 1000 米稍為嫌短，但賽前操練積極，先彈草閘再拍跳，看來並非志在熱身，或許憑勇態及新鮮感可補路程不足。現時評分已減回贏馬水平，有條件反彈。 Race 3    9 PRECIOUS SWEETIE PRECIOUS SWEETIE was not fit enough that had not won last season, but his f...